Mission accomplished. No, I'm not talking about the trade war, but we could be seeing progress on that, and not the attack on Syria, that has not happened, yet. No, we are talking about the global oil market rebalancing. The International Energy Agency that previously warned of lower for longer oil prices and warned last year that the oil price recovery was threatened by the possibility of weak demand now has changed its tune and is now saying that it is 'mission accomplished' for OPEC as oil stocks shrink at a record pace.
Trade War? What trade war? The fears that President Donald Trump’s threats of tariffs would plunge the globe into a devastating trade war is easing quite a bit. The Wall Street Journal reported that “'China and the U.S. have quietly started negotiating to improve U.S. access to Chinese markets, after a week filled with harsh words from both sides over Washington’s threat to use tariffs to address trade imbalances,' people with knowledge of the matter said."
Crude oil and product prices are putting in what should be a major seasonal bottom as global oil demand surges and the U.S. Petroleum Industry looks to fill the globe’s needs. In fact, the U.S. petroleum industry is doing their part to try to reduce the trade gap by exporting record amounts of oil and products. The U.S. shale revolution is touching the world in ways thought unimaginable by many just a few years ago.
Rex Tillerson out as secretary of state, inflation is stable and OPEC cuts will remain in place, a bullish American Petroleum Institute report... Crude oil prices had some wild swings yesterday as the market whipsawed from one headline to the other. Oil was modestly higher but plunged after a report that Iran was thinking to raise output to pay off some Chinese investors.
March madness started early in crude oil as prices fell on relatively light volume and focused on bearish news about ignoring bullish news at its own peril. Traders sold oil off on a report that showed an increase in supply in Cushing, Okla., but it is about time. The Nymex Storage hub has seen supply fall at a record pace in recent weeks, and seeing that we are deep into refinery maintenance we should start to see the supply recover.
Shale predictions and price predictions, sometimes they just do not get it. According to an article in today's Financial Times, OPEC is shocked by how many hedge funds really have no clue about how the oil market works. OPEC’s Secretary General Mohammad Barkindo, who met with hedge fund managers, seemed shocked that many of them had no "basic understanding" of oil and were less savvy than was widely assumed.
Crude oil prices are getting rattled as the fear that rising interest rates will slow down surging U.S. and global demand. High-yielding auctions and Fed minutes, that stated the obvious, was enough to send stocks and oil and the 10-year Note on a wild ride. At first, the market took the Fed's promise of gradual rate increases as a positive but later deemed that the Fed was still hawkish. Yet, the real surprise is that the market is surprised that the Fed can read economic data.
WTI crude oil prices are gaining on Brent as strong U.S. demand and Canadian pipeline issues tighten U.S. oil supply even further. This comes as OPEC comments suggest that they are still fully committed to keeping production cuts in place until the end of 2018, along with their non-OPEC coconspirators and even suggesting that the deal could go on longer if need be.
Crude oil prices are soaring back after getting smashed on last week’s stock market correction. Of course, all the selling in stocks and oil are not about what is happening now but what may or may not happen in the future.