Dollar bulls were absent during Tuesday’s trading session as investors remained on the sidelines ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day monetary policy meeting. Markets could offer a muted response to the meeting, especially when considering how there will be no updated economic projections or post-announcement press conference by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.
Gold has managed to hold onto a significant chunk of its gains made yesterday despite the U.S. trading conciliatory messages with North Korea again, something which has boosted the global stock markets and the U.S. dollar. This comes after Donald Trump yesterday canceled the June 12 meeting with Kim Jong Un, which triggered a risk-off response in the markets.
Today’s main event risk for the dollar, and potential market shaker will be the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s meeting, which is widely expected to conclude with monetary policy left unchanged. Although May’s FOMC meeting will not include a press conference or fresh economic projections, investors should not be quick to expect the meeting to be a “non-event.”
The British pound's abrupt and aggressive depreciation following disappointing UK inflation data continues to highlight how sensitive the currency is to monetary policy speculation. The UK headline inflation rate unexpectedly dropped to 2.5% in March, which immediately raised doubts over the Bank of England raising interest rates next month. With UK wage growth rising faster than inflation, the squeeze on consumers is slowly coming to an end.